Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000028
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000042
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000049
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000031 0.000057
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000033 0.000066
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000037 0.000077
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000041 0.000091
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000043 0.000102
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000046 0.000117
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000049 0.000134
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000054 0.000158
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000025 0.000062 0.000198
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000026 0.000068 0.000233
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000075 0.000280
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000082 0.000330
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000029 0.000087 0.000376
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000029 0.000092 0.000428
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000030 0.000100 0.000503
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000032 0.000111 0.000608